Jamison Crowder Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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NFL · Player Props

Jamison Crowder

WR · Buffalo Bills

Receiving Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 7:25 PM UTC

Analysis

Jamison Crowder Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-115/-119).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Buffalo Bills boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.4% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 63.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Buffalo Bills have run the 4th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 62.0 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 36.9 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in the NFL.
Jamison Crowder has been among the most reliable receivers in the NFL, catching a stellar 71.9% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 79th percentile among wide receivers.

Favors Under

The Bills are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The weatherman calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
Jamison Crowder has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (41.4% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (78.8%).
Jamison Crowder has been among the least effective pass-catchers in the NFL, averaging a measly 7.22 yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 17th percentile among WRs
The Baltimore Ravens defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 5th-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.