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Jameson Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-135/+105).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +105.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) usually prompt increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air volume, and lower ground volume.Jameson Williams has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (86.6% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last season (50.1%).Jameson Williams's play as a receiver has been refined this year, compiling 3.6 adjusted receptions compared to a measly 1.9 last year.Jameson Williams's receiving reliability have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 55.1% to 63.4%.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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With a 3.5-point advantage, the Lions are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a reliance on running than their typical approach.Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Lions to pass on 57.3% of their plays: the lowest rate among all teams this week.Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to see just 127.2 plays on offense called: the fewest among all games this week.Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: fewest in the league.This year, the formidable 49ers defense has given up a meager 59.8% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 3rd-lowest rate in the league.
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