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Jameson Williams

Jameson Williams Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Detroit Lions vs Buffalo Bills

Jameson Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-184/+133).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -148 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -184.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 10th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Detroit Lions this year (a massive 58.8 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Jameson Williams's 84.8% Route% this year reflects a noteable boost in his passing attack volume over last year's 50.1% rate.

The model projects Jameson Williams to earn 6.7 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 75th percentile among WRs.

Jameson Williams's 3.5 adjusted receptions per game this year represents an impressive boost in his receiving proficiency over last year's 1.9 mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Lions rank as the 10th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 58.6% pass rate.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to have only 126.1 total plays called: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week.

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