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Jameson Williams

Jameson Williams Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears

Jameson Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+130/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +140 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

Jameson Williams's 86.1% Route Participation Rate this season indicates a noteworthy progression in his passing game workload over last season's 50.1% mark.

Jameson Williams's 3.1 adjusted receptions per game this year indicates a noteworthy growth in his pass-catching ability over last year's 1.9 mark.

Jameson Williams's 59.6% Adjusted Completion% this season conveys a noteable gain in his receiving proficiency over last season's 55.1% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 9.5-point advantage, the Lions are a huge favorite in this week's game, indicating much more of a focus on running than their usual game plan.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Lions to pass on 55.6% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to see only 127.5 offensive plays called: the 5th-fewest among all games this week.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Chicago Bears, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 32.6 per game) this year.

The Bears pass defense has surrendered the 9th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (62.5%) versus WRs this year (62.5%).

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