Jameson Williams Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Jameson Williams

NFL · Player Props

Jameson Williams

WR · Detroit Lions

Receptions

Baltimore Ravens vs Detroit Lions · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 22, 2023 4:56 PM EST

Analysis

Jameson Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-115/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A throwing game script is implied by the Lions being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.
As it relates to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Lions profiles as the best in the NFL this year.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Lions offense to be the 4th-most sluggish paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 29.64 seconds per snap.
Jameson Williams has played on 22.7% of his team's snaps since the start of last season, placing him in the 18th percentile among wideouts.
With a paltry 0.6 adjusted catches per game (3rd percentile) since the start of last season, Jameson Williams has been among the worst WRs in the game in the NFL.
The Ravens pass defense has conceded the 10th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (64.1%) to WRs this year (64.1%).
The Baltimore Ravens safeties profile as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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