Jameson Williams Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Jameson Williams

NFL · Player Props

Jameson Williams

WR · Detroit Lions

Receptions

Detroit Lions vs Denver Broncos · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 12:36 AM UTC

Analysis

Jameson Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-195/+165).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 60.6 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Jameson Williams's 47.5% Route Participation% this season conveys a noteable improvement in his passing attack workload over last season's 16.4% figure.
The Detroit O-line grades out as the 4th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all air attack stats across the board.
Jameson Williams's receiving skills have been refined this year, averaging 1.4 adjusted receptions vs a mere 0.1 last year.

Favors Under

The Lions are a 4.5-point favorite this week, indicating a running game script.
The leading projections forecast the Lions to be the 7th-least pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 58.5% pass rate.
The projections expect this game to have the 2nd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 124.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
With a bad 49.4% Adjusted Completion Rate (17th percentile) this year, Jameson Williams has been among the worst possession receivers in football among WRs.

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