Jameson Williams Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Jameson Williams

NFL · Player Props

Jameson Williams

WR · Detroit Lions

Receptions

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 11, 2023 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Jameson Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-175/+145).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Lions this year (a staggering 60.9 per game on average).
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.8 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.
Jameson Williams's 47.0% Route% this year shows a remarkable progression in his air attack usage over last year's 16.4% figure.
The Detroit offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all pass attack stats across the board.
Jameson Williams's receiving performance has been refined this season, compiling 1.6 adjusted receptions vs a mere 0.1 last season.

Favors Under

A running game script is suggested by the Lions being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.
The leading projections forecast the Lions to be the 9th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 55.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Lions are expected by the predictive model to run just 62.4 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
With a poor 53.6% Adjusted Completion Rate (22nd percentile) this year, Jameson Williams rates as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the league when it comes to WRs.

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