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Jameson Williams

Jameson Williams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

San Francisco 49ers vs Detroit Lions

Jameson Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 49.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) usually prompt increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air volume, and lower ground volume.

Jameson Williams has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (86.6% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last season (50.1%).

Jameson Williams has notched many more air yards this year (75.0 per game) than he did last year (56.0 per game).

Jameson Williams has accumulated many more adjusted receiving yards per game (56.0) this season than he did last season (26.0).

Jameson Williams's receiving reliability have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 55.1% to 63.4%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Lions are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a reliance on running than their typical approach.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Lions to pass on 57.3% of their plays: the lowest rate among all teams this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to see just 127.2 plays on offense called: the fewest among all games this week.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: fewest in the league.

This year, the tough San Francisco 49ers defense has conceded a puny 124.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wideouts: the best in football.

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