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Jameson Williams

Jameson Williams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions

Jameson Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 47.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 48.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 9th-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Detroit Lions this year (a monstrous 59.4 per game on average).

Jameson Williams has been used less as a potential target this season (86.0% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last season (50.1%).

After totaling 56.0 air yards per game last season, Jameson Williams has been rising this season, now sitting at 74.0 per game.

Jameson Williams has accumulated many more adjusted receiving yards per game (52.0) this year than he did last year (26.0).

Jameson Williams's sure-handedness have improved this season, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 55.1% to 61.1%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread implies an extreme running game script for the Lions, who are a huge favorite by 7 points.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Lions to pass on 53.4% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the predictive model to see only 129.3 offensive plays called: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The weather forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

The Chicago Bears defense has conceded the 3rd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 129.0) vs. wideouts this year.

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