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Jameson Williams

Jameson Williams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Detroit Lions vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Jameson Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 42.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 48.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (36.3 per game) this year.

Jameson Williams has been less involved as a potential target this season (88.3% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (50.1%).

Jameson Williams has compiled far more air yards this season (77.0 per game) than he did last season (56.0 per game).

Jameson Williams's 46.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season indicates a noteable improvement in his pass-catching skills over last season's 26.0 mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 14-point advantage, the Lions are a heavy favorite in this week's game, indicating much more of a reliance on rushing than their typical approach.

Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to be the 5th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects the Detroit Lions offense to be the 3rd-most sluggish paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 29.72 seconds per play.

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