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Jameson Williams

Jameson Williams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

New Orleans Saints vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Jameson Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-130/+100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions to call the most offensive plays on the slate this week with 68.2 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The Lions have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 61.9 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Jameson Williams's 45.8% Route% this season signifies an impressive progression in his passing attack usage over last season's 16.4% figure.
  • After averaging 26.0 air yards per game last season, Jameson Williams has shown good development this season, now averaging 55.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread indicates a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 4 points.
  • The predictive model expects the Detroit Lions to be the 9th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 59.4% pass rate.
  • Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Saints, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 34.7 per game) this year.
  • Jameson Williams comes in as one of the worst possession receivers in the NFL, catching just 51.4% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 19th percentile among wideouts
  • The Saints pass defense has conceded the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (60.7%) versus wideouts this year (60.7%).

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