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Jameson Williams

Jameson Williams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears

Jameson Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 5th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a colossal 62.0 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The Bears defense has been something of pass funnel this year, inducing opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (40.0 per game) this year.

Jameson Williams has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (38.5% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (16.4%).

Jameson Williams has compiled far more air yards this season (49.0 per game) than he did last season (26.0 per game).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7.5-point advantage, the Lions are overwhelmingly favored in this week's game, implying much more of a focus on rushing than their standard approach.

The model projects this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 123.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Jameson Williams comes in as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the league, hauling in just 47.8% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 16th percentile among wideouts

With a subpar 4.5 adjusted yards per target (14th percentile) this year, Jameson Williams places among the weakest WRs in the game in the NFL.

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