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Jameson Williams

Jameson Williams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Los Angeles Chargers vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Jameson Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-139/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -139.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Lions are expected by the predictive model to run 65.8 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.
  • The 5th-most plays in football have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a monstrous 62.8 per game on average).
  • The Chargers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (41.0 per game) this year.
  • Jameson Williams has notched significantly more air yards this season (58.0 per game) than he did last season (26.0 per game).
  • With a RATE1-RATE2 point boost in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) from last year to this one, Jameson Williams has been more heavily featured in his offense's passing offense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Lions rank as the 10th-least pass-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 59.9% pass rate.
  • Jameson Williams has been one of the most unreliable receivers in the NFL, catching a mere 40.6% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 9th percentile among wide receivers
  • With a poor 3.8 adjusted yards per target (11th percentile) this year, Jameson Williams ranks among the weakest wide receivers in the league in football.

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