Jameson Williams Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

NFL · Player Props

Jameson Williams

WR · Detroit Lions

Receiving Yards

Carolina Panthers vs Detroit Lions · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 25, 2022 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Jameson Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Carolina Panthers defense has surrendered the 9th-most receiving yards per game in the league (164.0) vs. WRs this year.
The Carolina Panthers pass defense has conceded the highest Completion% in the NFL (72%) to wideouts this year (72.0%).
The Carolina Panthers safeties profile as the 5th-worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year in covering receivers.
The Carolina Panthers have stacked the box versus opponents on 26.1% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Detroit Lions have risked going for it on 4th down 27.9% of the time since the start of last season (most in the NFL), which typically means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions as the 11th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 56.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-least plays run on the slate this week at 124.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Jameson Williams has been on the field for 16.0% of his team's snaps this year, placing him in the 22nd percentile among WRs.
The Detroit Lions O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
The Carolina Panthers pass defense has performed very well when opposing WRs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.35 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-least in the league.