James Robinson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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NFL · Player Props

James Robinson

RB · New York Jets

Rushing Yards

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 7, 2022 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

James Robinson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Jets to call the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Jets have been faced with a stacked the box on just 13.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The New York Jets have risked going for it on 4th down 22.0% of the time since the start of last season (10th-most in football), which typically means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.
The New York Jets have incorporated some form of misdirection on 57.6% of their plays since the start of last season (3rd-most in the NFL), which masks an offenses true intentions and may make them more effective.

Favors Under

The Jets are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 4th-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 37.1% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
James Robinson has been a much smaller piece of his team's running game this season (43.3% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (57.8%).
James Robinson has been among the worst running backs in the league at grinding out extra running yardage, averaging just 2.66 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 15th percentile.
Opposing offenses have run for the 3rd-least yards in the NFL (just 93 per game) against the Buffalo Bills defense this year.