James Robinson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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James Robinson

NFL · Player Props

James Robinson

RB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Rushing Yards

Los Angeles Chargers vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 11:30 PM UTC

Analysis

James Robinson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 49.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 54.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 8th-quickest paced defense in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, leading opposing offenses to average 26.56 seconds per play.
THE BLITZ projects James Robinson to accumulate 13.1 rush attempts this week, on average, placing him in the 82nd percentile among running backs.
James Robinson has garnered 65.1% of his offense's carries this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile among running backs.
James Robinson has generated 55.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the highest marks in football among running backs (86th percentile).
The Los Angeles Chargers defense has had the 4th-worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks since the start of last season, yielding 4.91 yards-per-carry.

Favors Under

The Jacksonville Jaguars will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.0% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
The Jaguars are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars as the least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 37.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have used motion in their offense on 33.0% of their plays since the start of last season (9th-least in the league), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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