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James Robinson

James Robinson Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 4

Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars

James Robinson Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+186/-272).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -238 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -272.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jaguars have been the 9th-most run-oriented offense in the league near the end zone (in a neutral context) this year with a 46.4% red zone run rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

James Robinson has received 55.6% of his offense's red zone rush attempts this year, placing him in the 88th percentile among running backs.

James Robinson has rushed for 0.65 touchdowns per game on the ground since the start of last season (on average), one of the biggest figures in football among RBs (96th percentile).

Opposing squads have run for the 4th-most TDs in the league (1.10 per game) against the Philadelphia Eagles defense since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jaguars are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 9th-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a mere 58.0 plays per game.

The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line profiles as the 10th-worst in football since the start of last season in run blocking.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have utilized motion in their offense on 33.0% of their play-calls since the start of last season (9th-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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