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James Robinson

James Robinson Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 2

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts

James Robinson Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+155/-185).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

James Robinson has been given 51.0% of his offense's red zone rush attempts since the start of last season, putting him in the 86th percentile among running backs.

James Robinson has rushed for 0.60 TDs per game on the ground since the start of last season (on average), one of the largest marks in football among running backs (95th percentile).

The Jacksonville Jaguars have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 11.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The Indianapolis Colts have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 13.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the league. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jaguars are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 8th-least run-centric team in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 40.6% red zone run rate.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have called the 4th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 59.9 plays per game.

Opposing offenses have rushed for the 3rd-least TDs in the league (0.56 per game) vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense since the start of last season.

The Indianapolis Colts linebackers profile as the best group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

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