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James Robinson

James Robinson Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 12

New York Jets vs Chicago Bears

James Robinson Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+258/-425).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +276 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +258.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jets are a 6.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets as the 7th-most run-heavy team in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 46.4% red zone run rate.

Opposing teams have rushed for the most touchdowns in the NFL (1.64 per game) vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year.

The Chicago Bears defensive ends grade out as the worst collection of DEs in the league this year with their run defense.

The New York Jets have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 13.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Jets to run the 11th-least total plays on the slate this week with 63.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The New York Jets offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year at opening holes for rushers.

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