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James Robinson

James Robinson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans

James Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jacksonville Jaguars boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.3% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

THE BLITZ projects the Jaguars to call the 6th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line profiles as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all pass game stats across the board.

James Robinson's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% rising from 68.8% to 86.4%.

The Houston Texans safeties grade out as the 5th-worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year in regard to rushing the passer.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jaguars are a huge 7-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 11th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 56.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

James Robinson has accrued a mere -2.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 13th percentile among running backs.

James Robinson's 7.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 14.5.

More James Robinson Player Props

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