James Robinson Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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James Robinson

NFL · Player Props

James Robinson

RB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Carries

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM EST

Analysis

James Robinson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+103/-133).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ +103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jaguars are a huge 7-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Jaguars to call the 6th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects James Robinson to notch 14.9 rush attempts in this contest, on average, ranking in the 81st percentile among running backs.
James Robinson has earned 56.8% of his offense's rush attempts this year, ranking in the 88th percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

The Jacksonville Jaguars boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.3% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league this year at blocking for rushers.

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