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James Robinson

James Robinson Carries
Player Prop Week 5

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
James Robinson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+103/-133).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ +103.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jaguars are a huge 7-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Jaguars to call the 6th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects James Robinson to notch 14.9 rush attempts in this contest, on average, ranking in the 81st percentile among running backs.
  • James Robinson has earned 56.8% of his offense's rush attempts this year, ranking in the 88th percentile among RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.3% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league this year at blocking for rushers.

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