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James Robinson
NFL · Player Props
James Robinson
RB · Jacksonville Jaguars
Carries
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 2, 2022 Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:30 PM UTC
NFL Props James Robinson Carries

James Robinson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -130.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects James Robinson to earn 11.7 carries this week, on average, putting him in the 76th percentile among running backs.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 11.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Indianapolis Colts have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 13.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the league. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have elected to go for it on 4th down 23.0% of the time since the start of last season (8th-most in the league), which typically means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.
Favors Under
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.6% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • The Jaguars are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 9th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 38.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have called the 4th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 59.9 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects James Robinson to be a much smaller part of his team's run game this week (46.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (58.0% in games he has played).
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