James Proche Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

NFL · Player Props

James Proche

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 8, 2022 1:11 AM UTC

Analysis

James Proche Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (+108/-143).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ +108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects James Proche to be a much bigger part of his team's pass attack this week (11.3% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (3.8% in games he has played).
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
James Proche has been among the best possession receivers in the NFL, hauling in an impressive 76.8% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 90th percentile among wide receivers.
James Proche has been among the most efficient pass-catchers in football, averaging a stellar 9.29 yards-per-target since the start of last season while ranking in the 81st percentile among WRs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 3rd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 58.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens have run the least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 55.9 plays per game.
James Proche has accumulated a measly 10.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 18th percentile among WRs.
The Baltimore Ravens O-line has allowed their QB a measly 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.