James Proche Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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James Proche

NFL · Player Props

James Proche

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving TD

New Orleans Saints vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 8, 2022 12:56 AM UTC

Analysis

James Proche Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+379/-778).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -652 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -778.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects James Proche to be much more involved in his team's pass game near the end zone this week (10.7% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (3.1% in games he has played).
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
James Proche has been among the best possession receivers in the NFL, hauling in an impressive 76.8% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 90th percentile among wide receivers.
The New Orleans Saints defense has surrendered the most passing touchdowns in football to wide receivers: 1.00 per game this year.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens have run the least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 55.9 plays per game.
James Proche has accumulated a measly 10.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 18th percentile among WRs.
James Proche's 8.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the worst in the league: 17th percentile for WRs.
James Proche grades out in the 0th percentile among wideouts when it comes to catching TDs since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 0.00 per game.

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