My Account Log Out

reorder

James Proche

James Proche Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 11

Baltimore Ravens vs Carolina Panthers

James Proche Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+363/-724).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +401 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +363.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Baltimore Ravens offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass game statistics across the board.

James Proche has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the league, hauling in a stellar 78.7% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 91st percentile among wideouts.

The Carolina Panthers pass defense has given up the 3rd-highest Completion% in the league (70.9%) vs. wide receivers this year (70.9%).

The Carolina Panthers safeties grade out as the 4th-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

The Carolina Panthers have stacked the box vs. opponents on 26.1% of their plays since the start of last season, most in football. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens are a massive 13-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-least plays run out of all the games this week at 126.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Baltimore Ravens have run the 8th-least plays in football this year, totaling a measly 56.2 plays per game.

The weather report calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

James Proche has been not been very involved his team's passing attack near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of just 2.9% this year, which puts him in the 25th percentile among wideouts.

More James Proche Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™