James Cook Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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James Cook

NFL · Player Props

James Cook

RB · Buffalo Bills

Rushing Yards

Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets · Week 17, 2024

Updated Dec 29, 2024 8:26 PM EST

Analysis

James Cook Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 66.5 (-129/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 66.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 66.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 10-point advantage, the Bills are heavily favored in this week's game, indicating much more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Buffalo Bills to run on 48.6% of their opportunities: the 6th-highest clip among all teams this week.
The weather forecast calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
Out of all running backs, James Cook ranks in the 85th percentile for rush attempts this year, making up 52.1% of the workload in his team's running game.
James Cook has grinded out 70.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest figures in the league among running backs (89th percentile).

Favors Under

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to see just 127.0 plays on offense called: the fewest on the slate this week.
The 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Bills this year (a mere 54.3 per game on average).
The Jets defense boasts the 10th-best efficiency against opposing running games this year, giving up just 4.45 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

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