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James Cook

James Cook Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots

James Cook Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 69.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 64.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 69.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's spread suggests an extreme rushing game script for the Bills, who are a huge favorite by 14 points.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Buffalo Bills to run on 48.0% of their opportunities: the 6th-highest clip on the slate this week.

The projections expect James Cook to notch 13.6 carries in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 76th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Out of all RBs, James Cook ranks in the 85th percentile for rush attempts this year, comprising 53.4% of the workload in his team's running game.

James Cook has averaged 68.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the highest marks in football when it comes to RBs (88th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see just 125.1 plays on offense run: the 2nd-fewest on the slate this week.

The Bills have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 54.3 plays per game.

Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being projected in this game) typically cause increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air attack volume, and reduced rush volume.

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