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James Cook

James Cook Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Cincinnati Bengals vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
James Cook Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 48.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • James Cook has been much more involved in his offense's ground game this season (52.3% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (19.1%).
  • James Cook's 60.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season marks a meaningful improvement in his running ability over last season's 32.0 figure.
  • This year, the strong Bengals run defense has given up a mere 5.00 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing squads: the 29th-smallest rate in the league.
  • When it comes to the linebackers' role in run defense, Cincinnati's LB corps has been terrible this year, projecting as the 5th-worst in football. in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Bills to be the 5th-least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 36.6% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect the Bills to call the 2nd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • As it relates to run support (and the influence it has on all run game metrics), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills grades out as the 10th-worst in football last year.
  • James Cook's 4.7 adjusted yards per carry this season shows a noteworthy drop-off in his running prowess over last season's 5.8 mark.

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