James Cook Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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James Cook

NFL · Player Props

James Cook

RB · Buffalo Bills

Rushing Yards

Buffalo Bills vs New York Giants · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 11:41 PM UTC

Analysis

James Cook Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 58.5 (-135/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Bills, who are a massive favorite by 15.5 points.
After taking on 19.1% of his offense's rush attempts last year, James Cook has had a larger role in the ground game this year, now sitting at 52.0%.
James Cook has run for a lot more adjusted yards per game (58.0) this year than he did last year (32.0).
Opposing teams have rushed for the most adjusted yards in the NFL (160 per game) against the New York Giants defense this year.

Favors Under

At the moment, the least run-oriented offense in the league (31.6% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Bills.
The projections expect the Bills to run the 7th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The Buffalo offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in the league last year in run support.
James Cook's 4.8 adjusted yards per carry this year shows a a remarkable regression in his rushing prowess over last year's 5.8 figure.
The New York defensive tackles project as the best DT corps in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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