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James Cook

James Cook Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
James Cook Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 5.5-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their normal approach.
  • Our trusted projections expect James Cook to notch 12.8 carries this week, on average, ranking him in the 77th percentile among RBs.
  • James Cook has been a more integral piece of his offense's run game this year (54.1% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (19.1%).
  • James Cook's 75.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year illustrates a an impressive progression in his rushing talent over last year's 32.0 rate.
  • James Cook's rushing efficiency (5.34 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL this year (84th percentile when it comes to RBs).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Bills as the 9th-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 40.4% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast the Bills to run the 9th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The Buffalo Bills offensive line profiles as the 10th-worst in football last year at blocking for rushers.
  • Since the start of last season, the porous Jacksonville Jaguars run defense has been gouged for a whopping 4.30 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's running game: the 27th-largest rate in the league.

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