James Cook Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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James Cook

NFL · Player Props

James Cook

RB · Buffalo Bills

Rushing Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 8:01 PM UTC

Analysis

James Cook Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 61.5 (-140/+110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bills are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
After comprising 19.1% of his offense's carries last season, James Cook has played a bigger part in the running game this season, currently making up 52.2%.
James Cook's ground effectiveness (6.00 yards per carry) has been some of the best in football this year (93rd percentile when it comes to running backs).
James Cook has been among the leading RBs in football at generating extra running yardage, averaging a stellar 3.80 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 88th percentile.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Bills to be the 4th-least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 37.0% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast this game to have the 4th-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Bills have run the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 56.0 plays per game.
The Bills O-line ranks as the 10th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
Opposing squads have rushed for the 7th-fewest yards in football (just 107 per game) vs. the Dolphins defense since the start of last season.

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