James Cook Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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James Cook

NFL · Player Props

James Cook

RB · Buffalo Bills

Rushing Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 18, 2023 1:26 AM UTC

Analysis

James Cook Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 56.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 47.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 56.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bills are a massive 7.5-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects James Cook to be a more important option in his team's rushing attack this week (46.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (21.0% in games he has played).
James Cook's rushing efficiency (5.79 yards per carry) has been some of the best in football since the start of last season (94th percentile among RBs).
James Cook has been among the best running backs in football at generating extra rushing yardage, averaging an impressive 3.09 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while grading out in the 77th percentile.
The Las Vegas Raiders defense has produced the 10th-worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks since the start of last season, surrendering 4.75 yards-per-carry.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-least run-centric offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 30.8% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Buffalo Bills have called the 7th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a mere 55.2 plays per game.
The Buffalo Bills offensive line profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.

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