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James Cook

James Cook Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills

James Cook Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-139/+108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 63.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 59.5 @ +108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Bills, who are favored by 3 points.

In this week's contest, James Cook is projected by our trusted projection set to slot into the 76th percentile among running backs with 14.6 rush attempts.

James Cook has been much more involved in his offense's ground game this season (50.2% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (19.1%).

James Cook's 67.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year indicates a substantial progression in his running prowess over last year's 32.0 rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Buffalo Bills to be the 10th-least run-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 36.6% run rate.

To the extent of a defense's influence on pace, at 28.47 seconds per play, the predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills as the 6th-most sluggish in the league (in a neutral context) right now.

In regards to executing run-blocking assignments (and the impact it has on all ground game metrics), the O-line of the Bills grades out as the 10th-worst in football last year.

James Cook's running effectiveness has diminished this season, compiling a measly 4.78 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 5.79 rate last season.

This year, the daunting Miami Dolphins run defense has allowed a measly 97.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the 6th-fewest in the league.

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