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James Cook

James Cook Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
James Cook Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (+105/-135).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Bills being an enormous 14.5-point favorite in this game.
  • The projections expect the Bills to be the 6th-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 48.9% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • In this week's contest, James Cook is anticipated by the predictive model to position himself in the 90th percentile when it comes to RBs with 17.7 carries.
  • After comprising 19.1% of his team's carries last season, James Cook has been called on more in the running game this season, currently accounting for 50.7%.
  • James Cook's 67.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season shows a noteable improvement in his rushing prowess over last season's 32.0 rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 11th-slowest pace out of all the games this week, averaging 26.62 seconds per play accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Buffalo Bills O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in football last year at blocking for the run game.
  • James Cook's running effectiveness has diminished this year, notching a mere 4.86 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 5.79 figure last year.
  • This year, the weak New England Patriots run defense has been gouged for a massive 3.53 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to opposing teams: the 31st-worst rate in the league.
  • As it relates to the safeties' role in defending against the run, New England's safety corps has been tremendous this year, projecting as the best in the NFL.

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