James Cook Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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James Cook

NFL · Player Props

James Cook

RB · Buffalo Bills

Rushing Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 11, 2023 4:01 AM EST

Analysis

James Cook Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 51.5 (-130/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

James Cook has been much more involved in his offense's rushing attack this year (49.3% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (19.1%).
James Cook's 59.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year signifies an impressive boost in his rushing prowess over last year's 32.0 mark.
This year, the strong Chiefs run defense has given up a paltry 4.63 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing offenses: the 23rd-lowest rate in football.
The Chiefs safeties profile as the 29th-worst safety corps in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Buffalo Bills to be the 5th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 38.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
To the extent of a defense's effect on pace, at 28.97 seconds per play, the model projects the Bills as the slowest in the league (adjusted for context) right now.
The Bills O-line grades out as the 10th-worst in the league last year at opening holes for runners.
James Cook's ground effectiveness has worsened this season, accumulating just 4.65 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 5.79 mark last season.

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