James Cook Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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James Cook

NFL · Player Props

James Cook

RB · Buffalo Bills

Rushing Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Buffalo Bills · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

James Cook Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (+110/-143).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 46.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

James Cook has been a much bigger part of his team's rushing attack this year (50.6% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (19.1%).
James Cook has rushed for a lot more adjusted yards per game (61.0) this year than he did last year (32.0).

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Bills to run on 38.7% of their chances: the 5th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
In terms of a defense's influence on pace, at 29.17 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects the Bills to be the most sluggish in football (context-neutralized) at the present time.
When talking about run-blocking (and the importance it has on all ground game statistics), the offensive line of the Bills grades out as the 9th-worst in football last year.
James Cook's 4.9 adjusted yards per carry this season signifies a meaningful diminishment in his running prowess over last season's 5.8 mark.
This year, the formidable Philadelphia Eagles run defense has surrendered a feeble 75.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to the opposing side: the best in the league.

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