James Cook Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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James Cook

NFL · Player Props

James Cook

RB · Buffalo Bills

Rushing Yards

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 11, 2023 11:11 PM UTC

Analysis

James Cook Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 43.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 45.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects James Cook to be much more involved in his team's run game this week (37.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (19.1% in games he has played).
James Cook's ground effectiveness (5.79 yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league since the start of last season (93rd percentile among running backs).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the 4th-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 37.7% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Bills to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Buffalo Bills have run the least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 54.8 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Buffalo Bills O-line ranks as the 10th-worst in the league since the start of last season at opening holes for runners.

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