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James Cook

James Cook Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Buffalo Bills vs Green Bay Packers

James Cook Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-130/+100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bills are a huge 10.5-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

Opposing offenses have rushed for the 5th-most yards in the NFL (141 per game) against the Green Bay Packers defense this year.

The Green Bay Packers linebackers rank as the 7th-worst LB corps in football this year when it comes to run defense.

The Buffalo Bills have faced a stacked the box on just 13.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The Green Bay Packers have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 8.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in the league. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Buffalo Bills will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.1% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the 7th-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 36.9% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-least plays run on the slate this week at 127.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

James Cook has played on 13.0% of his offense's snaps this year, ranking him in the 10th percentile among RBs.

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