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James Cook
NFL · Player Props
James Cook
RB · Buffalo Bills
Rushing Yards
Chicago Bears vs Buffalo Bills · Week 16, 2022 Updated Dec 24, 2022 9:01 PM UTC
NFL Props James Cook Rushing Yards

James Cook Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -135.

Favors Over
  • The Bills are a heavy 8.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • The weather forecast calls for 23-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • James Cook's ground efficiency (5.43 yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league this year (90th percentile among RBs).
  • Opposing teams have run for the 6th-most yards in the league (144 per game) vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year.
  • The Chicago Bears defensive tackles grade out as the 2nd-worst DT corps in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.
Favors Under
  • The Buffalo Bills boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.0% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the least run-centric offense in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 29.3% run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Bills to call the 3rd-least total plays on the slate this week with 61.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Buffalo Bills offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in football this year at run-game blocking.
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