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James Cook
NFL · Player Props
James Cook
RB · Buffalo Bills
Rushing Yards
Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins · Week 15, 2022 Updated Dec 18, 2022 1:06 AM UTC
NFL Props James Cook Rushing Yards

James Cook Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-145/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -145.

Favors Over
  • The Bills are a giant 7-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • James Cook's running efficiency (5.33 yards per carry) has been some of the best in football this year (87th percentile among RBs).
  • The Buffalo Bills have faced a stacked the box on just 13.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
Favors Under
  • The Buffalo Bills will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.0% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the 2nd-least run-heavy team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 29.4% run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the 7th-slowest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 28.77 seconds per snap.
  • The Buffalo Bills offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in football this year at blocking for the run game.
  • Opposing offenses have rushed for the 7th-least yards in football (just 107 per game) versus the Miami Dolphins defense this year.
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