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James Cook

James Cook Receptions
Player Prop Week 21

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
James Cook Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-200/+165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -199 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -200.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to see only 132.5 total plays run: the lowest number among all games this week.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being forecasted in this game) usually prompt better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower run volume.
  • In this week's game, James Cook is projected by our trusted projection set to rank in the 92nd percentile among RBs with 2.8 targets.
  • In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all passing game metrics), the offensive line of the Bills grades out as the 9th-best in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Buffalo Bills this year (just 55.4 per game on average).
  • The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has conceded the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (76.4%) vs. running backs this year (76.4%).
  • As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, Kansas City's collection of LBs has been very good this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

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