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James Cook

James Cook Receptions
Player Prop Week 19

Buffalo Bills vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
James Cook Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-167/+128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -154 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -167.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect this game to have the smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 132.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Broncos defense has been something of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (36.6 per game) this year.
  • The Buffalo Bills offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all passing game stats across the board.
  • This year, the deficient Denver Broncos pass defense has surrendered a whopping 89.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 2nd-highest rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme running game script is implied by the Bills being a big 7.5-point favorite this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Buffalo Bills to be the 3rd-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 53.9% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Buffalo Bills this year (only 54.9 per game on average).
  • As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Denver's collection of safeties has been fantastic this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the league.

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