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James Cook

James Cook Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Cincinnati Bengals vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
James Cook Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bills to pass on 63.4% of their opportunities: the 5th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
  • James Cook's 49.9% Route Participation Rate this season shows a noteable boost in his air attack usage over last season's 19.1% figure.
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year.
  • James Cook's 85.6% Adjusted Catch% this season represents a noteworthy growth in his receiving talent over last season's 63.5% mark.
  • As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Cincinnati's safety corps has been terrible this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Bills to call the 2nd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 33.3 pass attempts per game against the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has given up the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (75.8%) vs. running backs this year (75.8%).

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