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James Cook

James Cook Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills

James Cook Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-170/+140).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 10th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (63.4% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Buffalo Bills.

The predictive model expects James Cook to accrue 3.3 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 77th percentile when it comes to running backs.

James Cook's 16.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive volume) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 10.4.

The Bills offensive line profiles as the 9th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

James Cook's play as a receiver has been refined this season, accumulating 2.6 adjusted receptions vs just 1.3 last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Bills, who are favored by 3 points.

To the extent of a defense's influence on pace, at 28.47 seconds per play, the predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills as the 6th-most sluggish in the league (in a neutral context) right now.

The Miami Dolphins safeties project as the 2nd-best group of safeties in the league this year in defending receivers.

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