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James Cook

James Cook Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots

James Cook Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-160/+130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +140 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

James Cook's 16.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been notably higher this season than it was last season at 10.4.

The Buffalo offensive line ranks as the 10th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing game stats across the board.

James Cook's receiving performance has gotten better this season, totaling 2.7 adjusted catches vs just 1.3 last season.

James Cook's possession skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 63.5% to 87.5%.

This year, the shaky Patriots pass defense has surrendered a whopping 90.5% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 2nd-largest rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Bills being an enormous 14.5-point favorite in this game.

The model projects the Bills to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 51.1% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects this game to have the 11th-slowest pace out of all the games this week, averaging 26.62 seconds per play accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

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