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James Cook

James Cook Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Los Angeles Chargers vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
James Cook Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-121/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -101 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -121.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Buffalo Bills are projected by the projection model to run 65.9 total plays in this contest: the 8th-most among all teams this week.
  • The Chargers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (38.9 per game) this year.
  • In this contest, James Cook is predicted by our trusted projection set to place in the 88th percentile among RBs with 4.5 targets.
  • James Cook's 17.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 10.4.
  • The Buffalo Bills offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing offense stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Bills, who are overwhelmingly favored by 12.5 points.
  • The projections expect the Buffalo Bills as the 7th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 55.2% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers profile as the 6th-best unit in football this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

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