James Cook Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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James Cook

NFL · Player Props

James Cook

RB · Buffalo Bills

Receptions

Buffalo Bills vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 9:01 PM UTC

Analysis

James Cook Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-175/+145).

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the present time, the 2nd-most pass-heavy team in football (67.0% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Buffalo Bills.
The projections expect this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.3 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
This week, James Cook is expected by the projection model to rank in the 79th percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.7 targets.
James Cook's 16.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive volume) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 10.4.
In regards to pass protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Buffalo Bills grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year.

Favors Under

Opposing offenses have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game against the Cowboys defense this year: 3rd-fewest in football.
The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has conceded the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (77%) versus RBs this year (77.0%).
As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Dallas's group of LBs has been fantastic this year, projecting as the 3rd-best in the league.

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