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James Cook

James Cook Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
James Cook Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Buffalo Bills to pass on 61.2% of their plays: the 5th-highest frequency among all teams this week.
  • James Cook's 45.6% Route% this season conveys a significant improvement in his passing offense usage over last season's 19.1% figure.
  • In this contest, James Cook is forecasted by the model to land in the 77th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.4 targets.
  • When talking about protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills grades out as the 9th-best in the NFL this year.
  • James Cook's 2.8 adjusted catches per game this year conveys a noteworthy progression in his receiving proficiency over last year's 1.3 figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • To the extent of a defense's effect on pace, at 28.97 seconds per play, the model projects the Bills as the slowest in the league (adjusted for context) right now.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been unwilling to rely on the passing game too much against the Chiefs, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 32.0 per game) this year.

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