James Cook Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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James Cook

NFL · Player Props

James Cook

RB · Buffalo Bills

Receptions

Philadelphia Eagles vs Buffalo Bills · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 8:31 PM EST

Analysis

James Cook Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-113/-121).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bills to pass on 61.3% of their plays: the 8th-highest clip among all teams this week.
Opposing QBs have averaged 41.9 pass attempts per game versus the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: most in football.
James Cook's 47.6% Route Participation Rate this year conveys a noteable growth in his passing attack volume over last year's 19.1% mark.
When it comes to pass protection (and the positive impact it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Buffalo Bills grades out as the 6th-best in football this year.
James Cook's receiving talent has gotten better this year, averaging 2.5 adjusted receptions vs just 1.3 last year.

Favors Under

In terms of a defense's influence on pace, at 29.17 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects the Bills to be the most sluggish in football (context-neutralized) at the present time.
The Philadelphia Eagles safeties project as the 6th-best safety corps in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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