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James Cook

James Cook Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Buffalo Bills vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
James Cook Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +114 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Bills to be the 3rd-most pass-focused offense in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 68.9% pass rate.
  • James Cook has been used more as a potential pass-catcher this season (49.5% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last season (19.1%).
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills ranks as the 6th-best in football this year.
  • James Cook's 2.4 adjusted catches per game this season shows a meaningful improvement in his pass-catching ability over last season's 1.3 figure.
  • James Cook's 88.1% Adjusted Catch Rate this season reflects a substantial boost in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 63.5% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bills are a giant 7.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Buffalo Bills are forecasted by the predictive model to call only 61.0 total plays in this game: the 2nd-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 34.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Denver Broncos defense this year: fewest in football.

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